Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 185.769900 222.386667 268.055584 330.636222 416.590676 5.345042e+02 716.398584
2024-12-29 144.157180 187.773719 249.855944 350.029807 519.948036 8.265645e+02 1523.612147
2025-01-05 116.050596 157.900978 221.834390 335.184662 554.976757 1.038373e+03 2587.326552
2025-01-12 101.216982 142.659580 209.785920 338.959128 622.744747 1.389668e+03 5217.904363
2025-01-19 88.774068 128.238652 194.877229 331.128634 661.341174 1.729463e+03 10523.458578
2025-01-26 85.054553 126.987565 201.936789 368.996737 839.109648 2.916647e+03 74260.972300
2025-02-02 84.071260 130.007536 217.357740 432.320735 1162.050522 6.399300e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 77.092893 121.111911 207.219663 429.349804 1259.743961 9.378289e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 72.138180 115.214911 202.043133 437.814880 1422.618245 1.627042e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 68.088186 110.454709 198.331091 449.272808 1626.174065 3.368189e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 64.928022 106.989697 196.808060 467.156587 1910.161797 1.069457e+05 NaN
2025-03-09 61.545555 102.656005 192.469346 474.510368 2156.964471 5.834893e+05 NaN
2025-03-16 56.060952 94.041873 177.916345 446.722991 2142.314248 3.099060e+06 NaN
2025-03-23 53.780844 91.850765 178.850730 476.785363 2759.600385 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 49.583291 85.123626 167.160652 453.735226 2791.044905 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 47.011997 81.572887 163.011695 459.576346 3236.275600 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 44.091363 76.959523 155.309597 447.473320 3421.241719 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 43.740153 77.906292 162.664644 506.533449 5381.583307 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 44.192870 80.705035 175.951071 608.211289 11288.825751 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 42.017505 77.186843 170.040250 603.361209 13261.476669 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 40.423644 74.882645 167.434044 617.200923 17864.328822 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 39.045474 72.955755 165.669213 636.033404 25909.309498 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 37.939057 71.574280 165.398160 665.655075 43987.557761 NaN NaN